Is The Stock Market Predicting A Recession?
Portfolio Pulse from
A probit-based economic model suggests only a 5% probability of a US economic contraction, despite recent stock market corrections. The potential evolution of tariff risks could rapidly change this assessment, necessitating daily risk evaluations.
March 21, 2025 | 12:00 am
News sentiment analysis
Sort by:
Ascending
NEUTRAL IMPACT
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF is experiencing market correction, but current economic models suggest low recession probability. Tariff developments could introduce volatility.
The article directly references S&P 500 performance and suggests minimal immediate recession risk. Tariff uncertainties could introduce market volatility.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80