Mowi: Undergoing Negative Salmon Cycle Swiftly, But Not An Opportunity
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Mowi ASA's Q3 2024 results align with guidance, showing margin contraction due to higher supply, but the company remains resilient with strong operational and net margins. The salmon industry is in a low-margin cycle, with Mowi expecting supply growth to slow and long-term industry production to expand at a 2% CAGR. Valuing Mowi on a cycle-average basis, it offers a 7% earnings yield plus 4% growth from production expansion, totaling an 11% return.
November 07, 2024 | 7:00 pm
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Mowi ASA's Q3 2024 results show margin contraction due to higher supply, but the company remains resilient with strong operational and net margins. The salmon industry is in a low-margin cycle, with Mowi expecting supply growth to slow.
Mowi's Q3 2024 results align with guidance, showing margin contraction due to higher supply. Despite this, the company remains resilient with strong operational and net margins. The salmon industry is in a low-margin cycle, but Mowi expects supply growth to slow, which could stabilize margins. The valuation on a cycle-average basis offers an 11% return, indicating a neutral short-term impact on stock price.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 90