Satoshi Nakamoto Identity Prediction Market Appears More Volatile Than Bitcoin: Sassaman Dethrones Peter Todd
Portfolio Pulse from Aniket Verma
The social prediction market Manifold is experiencing volatility as bettors speculate on the identity of Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. Len Sassaman has recently overtaken Peter Todd as the favorite, with odds fluctuating significantly.
October 24, 2024 | 4:58 am
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NEUTRAL IMPACT
The identity speculation of Bitcoin's creator on Manifold's prediction market has led to volatility, but it is unlikely to have a direct impact on Bitcoin's price.
While the prediction market is volatile, it is based on speculation and does not directly affect Bitcoin's fundamentals or market price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 20
RELEVANCE 50