Walmart, BJ's Ride Grocery Reflation Wave As Hurricane Preparedness Boosts Q3 Outlook: Analyst
Portfolio Pulse from Surbhi Jain
Walmart and BJ's Wholesale Club are expected to outperform in Q3 due to slight grocery inflation and increased demand from hurricane preparedness. Grocery inflation rose to 2% in Q3, benefiting these retailers as they rely heavily on grocery sales. Walmart's grocery comps are projected at +6.2% and BJ's at +3.8%, both exceeding expectations.
October 15, 2024 | 2:10 pm
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POSITIVE IMPACT
BJ's Wholesale Club is poised for a strong Q3 with grocery comps forecasted at +3.8%, driven by grocery inflation and hurricane preparedness.
BJ's heavy reliance on grocery sales (85% of core comps) makes it well-positioned to capitalize on the 2% grocery inflation and hurricane-driven demand. The forecasted +3.8% grocery comps exceed consensus, suggesting a positive short-term impact on stock prices.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 85
POSITIVE IMPACT
Walmart is expected to benefit from a slight increase in grocery inflation and hurricane preparedness, with projected grocery comps at +6.2%, surpassing the estimated +4.5%.
Walmart's reliance on grocery sales (55% of core comps) positions it well to benefit from the 2% grocery inflation and increased demand due to hurricanes. The projected +6.2% grocery comps exceed expectations, indicating a positive short-term impact on stock prices.
CONFIDENCE 95
IMPORTANCE 85
RELEVANCE 90