Economist Pours Cold Water On September Rate Cut: 'We Need To See Some Sustained Weakness'
Portfolio Pulse from Shanthi Rexaline
Economist Brad Case suggests that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in September, citing strong consumer spending and income growth. He believes a rate cut may occur in November if sustained economic weakness is observed. The CME FedWatch Tool shows mixed probabilities for a rate cut in September, while betting markets predict a high chance of cuts by the end of the year. The iShares TIPS Bond ETF (NYSE:TIP) saw a slight increase, reflecting market sentiment on inflation-protected bonds.
August 11, 2024 | 6:00 pm
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The iShares TIPS Bond ETF (NYSE:TIP) saw a slight increase of 0.26%, reflecting market sentiment on inflation-protected bonds amid discussions on potential Fed rate cuts.
The slight increase in TIP's price indicates that investors are seeking inflation protection amid uncertainty about future rate cuts. The ETF's performance is directly tied to inflation expectations, which are influenced by Fed rate decisions.
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IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 50