Does 'Sell In May And Go Away' Work For Bitcoin? This Researcher Crunched The Numbers
Portfolio Pulse from Khyathi Dalal
Crypto researcher TradeTheFlow analyzed Bitcoin's summer performance over the past eight years, finding mixed results that challenge the 'Sell in May and go away' narrative. The analysis shows that Bitcoin's summer performance is not predictably dull, with significant variations influenced by macroeconomic conditions. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas also noted record inflows into equity ETFs in May, further questioning the seasonal investment strategy.
June 05, 2024 | 5:18 pm
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TradeTheFlow's analysis reveals that Bitcoin's summer performance is not predictably dull, with an average increase of 8.4% over the past eight years. This challenges the 'Sell in May and go away' narrative, suggesting that macroeconomic factors play a more significant role.
The analysis indicates that Bitcoin's summer performance is not consistently negative, with an average gain of 8.4% over the past eight years. This suggests that investors should consider macroeconomic factors rather than relying on seasonal trends.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100
POSITIVE IMPACT
Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted that ETF investors pooled a record $58 billion into equity ETFs in May, challenging the 'Sell in May' narrative. This indicates strong investor confidence in equity markets, including the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).
The record inflows into equity ETFs in May suggest strong investor confidence, which could positively impact the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 50