Are Rate Cuts Imminent After Fed's Preferred Inflation Data Holds Steady? 'Be-Careful-What-You-Wish-For Moment' (CORRECTED)
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve, remained steady in April, aligning with expectations. This has led to mixed reactions among economists regarding potential rate cuts. Treasury yields fell, boosting bond assets like the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), while stocks, including the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), weakened.
May 31, 2024 | 3:05 pm
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POSITIVE IMPACT
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) saw a 0.9% increase as Treasury yields tumbled following steady PCE inflation data.
Steady inflation data led to a drop in Treasury yields, which positively impacted bond assets like TLT.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80
NEGATIVE IMPACT
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) fell by 0.3% as steady PCE inflation data and slowing consumer spending raised concerns about economic growth.
Concerns about economic growth due to steady inflation and slowing consumer spending led to a decline in SPY.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80