Ray Dalio: US 'On The Brink' Of Civil War, But Not One Where People 'Grab Guns And Start Shooting'
Portfolio Pulse from Surbhi Jain
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns of a potential civil war in the U.S. driven by political polarization, wealth inequality, and external conflicts. He estimates a 40% chance of such a conflict, which could significantly impact broad market ETFs like SPY, IVV, VOO, VTI, and QQQ.

May 21, 2024 | 4:36 pm
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NEGATIVE IMPACT
The iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) may experience volatility following Ray Dalio's warning about U.S. political and economic instability.
Dalio's prediction of a potential civil war and economic instability could lead to market fluctuations, affecting ETFs like IVV.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 80
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Ray Dalio's warning about U.S. instability could lead to increased volatility in the Invesco QQQ Trust Series I ETF (QQQ).
Dalio's concerns about political and economic instability could lead to market volatility, affecting broad market ETFs like QQQ.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 80
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Ray Dalio's warning about a potential U.S. civil war could lead to increased volatility in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY).
Dalio's concerns about political and economic instability could lead to market volatility, affecting broad market ETFs like SPY.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 80
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Ray Dalio's warning about U.S. instability could lead to increased volatility in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO).
Dalio's concerns about political and economic instability could lead to market volatility, affecting broad market ETFs like VOO.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 80
NEGATIVE IMPACT
The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) could experience volatility due to Ray Dalio's warning about U.S. political and economic instability.
Dalio's prediction of a potential civil war and economic instability could lead to market fluctuations, affecting ETFs like VTI.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 80