Inflation Rises More Than Expected To 3.5% In March, Derails June Rate Cut Hopes (UPDATED)
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
Inflation in the US rose to 3.5% in March 2024, exceeding expectations and dampening hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut in June. The CPI increase was driven by a 6% monthly rise in gasoline prices, although core CPI inflation slightly eased. The report led to a spike in Treasury yields, a stronger US dollar as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (UUP), and a decline in gold prices as monitored through the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). Futures on major US indices also traded lower.
April 10, 2024 | 12:34 pm
News sentiment analysis
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NEGATIVE IMPACT
The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) saw a 0.7% decrease in response to the inflation report, reflecting a decline in gold prices.
Gold prices often move inversely to the US dollar and interest rate expectations. The report's implication of sustained high interest rates and a stronger dollar contributed to the decline in gold prices, and thus GLD's value.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
The Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (UUP) strengthened by 0.4% following the inflation report, indicating a stronger US dollar.
The rise in inflation suggests a delay in expected Federal Reserve rate cuts, leading to a stronger dollar. As UUP tracks the US dollar index, this news directly impacts its performance positively in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80