Simply Good Foods Consumption Trends Looks Grim For Q2, Says Analyst
Portfolio Pulse from Shivani Kumaresan
Stifel analyst Matthew E. Smith has reiterated a Buy rating on Simply Good Foods Co (NASDAQ:SMPL) but lowered the price target from $48 to $38 due to weaker-than-anticipated consumption trends. The company's Q2 revenue growth estimate has been reduced to 5% with an EBITDA of $54.6 million. Despite the adjustments, the analyst believes the current guidance is achievable, albeit at the lower end, and expects EBITDA growth to outpace revenue growth. The consumption trends indicate potential for the Quest brand and a decline for the Atkins brand. The possibility of acquisitions to diversify the portfolio was also mentioned.

March 28, 2024 | 7:07 pm
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Stifel analyst lowers price target for Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) to $38 from $48 due to weaker consumption trends but maintains a Buy rating. Q2 revenue and EBITDA estimates have been reduced, with potential for acquisitions to diversify the portfolio highlighted.
The reduction in price target and adjusted financial estimates reflect a cautious short-term outlook for SMPL due to weaker consumption trends. However, the maintenance of a Buy rating and the potential for strategic acquisitions suggest a balanced view on the stock's prospects. The impact is neutral as the negative adjustments are somewhat offset by the analyst's continued optimism and strategic options for growth.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 100