Jerome Powell Hints At 2024 Interest Rate Cuts, Awaits 'Greater Confidence' On Inflation: Stocks Rebound, Dollar Falls
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2024, emphasizing the need for 'greater confidence' on inflation reaching the Fed's 2% target. Powell's remarks, which were part of his semiannual testimony before the U.S. Congress, also highlighted the current economic conditions, including 3.1% GDP growth in 2023, a tight labor market with job gains averaging 239,000 per month, and an unemployment rate at 3.7%. Despite easing inflation rates, they remain above the Fed's goal. The policy rate is considered to be at its peak for this cycle, with future adjustments contingent on inflation progress. Powell's comments led to a decline in the U.S. Dollar Index and positive movements in U.S. equity futures.
March 06, 2024 | 2:57 pm
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NEGATIVE IMPACT
The Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (UUP) experienced a significant decline following Powell's remarks on potential 2024 interest rate cuts and the current economic outlook.
Powell's comments on the potential for interest rate cuts in 2024, given the current economic conditions and inflation rates, have led to a decrease in the U.S. Dollar Index, directly impacting UUP. The ETF, which tracks the dollar index, fell as traders anticipated the Fed's monetary policy adjustments.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 90