Slump In Housing Starts: 'Extremely Noisy' Numbers Indicate Demand For New Homes Dipping
Portfolio Pulse from Neil Dennis
January's housing starts data revealed a significant decline, with a 14.8% drop overall and a 35.8% fall in multifamily dwellings, attributed partly to severe weather in the Midwest. Despite this, the long-term trend for single-family home starts remains positive. High interest rates have led to increased mortgage rates, affecting home sales and purchases. This has negatively impacted housebuilders' stock performance, with D.R. Horton, Lennar, Pulte Group, and Toll Brothers seeing varied changes in their stock prices. Home Depot's stock, however, is up 5% in 2024, despite potential challenges from a slowing housing market.
February 16, 2024 | 5:38 pm
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NEGATIVE IMPACT
D.R. Horton's stock is down 5.8% this year amid a slowing housing market.
The decline in housing starts and the impact of high mortgage rates on home sales directly affect D.R. Horton's market performance.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 90
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Pulte Group's stock has decreased by 0.8% this year, reflecting the impact of a slowing housing market.
The slight decline in Pulte Group's stock is indicative of the broader market's impact on high-end home builders.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 85
POSITIVE IMPACT
Home Depot's stock is up 5% in 2024, potentially facing challenges from a slowing housing market.
Home Depot's stock increase suggests positive performance, though future challenges could arise from a slowing housing market.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 65
RELEVANCE 75
POSITIVE IMPACT
Lennar's stock has seen a modest increase of 2% this year, despite challenges in the housing market.
Lennar's slight stock increase suggests some resilience or positive factors offsetting the broader market challenges.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
Toll Brothers' stock is fractionally higher this year, showing resilience in the face of a challenging housing market.
Toll Brothers' marginal stock increase reflects its ability to withstand the negative trends affecting the housing market.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80