The short-term impact on CF's stock price will likely hinge on whether it meets or exceeds the EPS estimate and the nature of its future guidance. Historically, CF's stock has shown to react more significantly to guidance than to earnings beats or misses alone. Given the stock's decline over the past year, positive guidance could provide a much-needed boost, whereas a miss on earnings or negative guidance could exacerbate the bearish sentiment. However, given the mixed historical reaction to past earnings, the short-term impact is assessed as neutral.