Marijuana Rescheduling, Stock Market Reactions: Analyst Insights On Who Wins & Possible Trump Election
Portfolio Pulse from Nicolás Jose Rodriguez
A report by senior analyst Pablo Zuanic discusses the potential benefits of rescheduling cannabis to Schedule III, including improved cash flow and creditworthiness for U.S. cannabis companies, and easier banking access. The report also considers the impact of federal legalization of medical cannabis and the legal complexities involved. It highlights the uncertainty in the cannabis sector due to the upcoming election and the possibility of a Trump reelection, which could cap the upside for cannabis stocks. The biggest beneficiaries of the rescheduling would be StateHouse, AYR, Jushi, and The Cannabist, with Curaleaf, Trulieve, and Green Thumb paying the most taxes relative to their sales.

January 16, 2024 | 3:19 pm
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POSITIVE IMPACT
AYR is highlighted as a major beneficiary of the cannabis rescheduling, which could lead to significant tax savings and improved financial health.
AYR is expected to experience a positive impact on its financials due to the rescheduling of cannabis, which could lead to a favorable short term stock price movement.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
The Cannabist is expected to see substantial financial benefits from the cannabis rescheduling, which could translate into stock market gains.
The Cannabist stands to benefit from the rescheduling of cannabis, with expected improvements in cash flow and reduced tax liabilities, which could positively affect its stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
Curaleaf, having paid a significant portion of taxes relative to sales, could experience a major financial relief from cannabis rescheduling.
Curaleaf's financial burden due to taxes could be alleviated by the rescheduling, which may lead to a positive short term impact on its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 70
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 70
POSITIVE IMPACT
Green Thumb's large tax contributions relative to sales indicate it could significantly benefit from the rescheduling of cannabis.
Green Thumb is likely to experience financial improvements due to the rescheduling of cannabis, which could lead to a positive short term impact on its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 70
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 70
POSITIVE IMPACT
Jushi is named as one of the primary beneficiaries of the cannabis rescheduling, which could enhance its financial outlook and market position.
Jushi's financial outlook is likely to be positively impacted by the rescheduling, which could lead to reduced tax payments and enhanced creditworthiness, potentially increasing its stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
StateHouse is identified as one of the biggest beneficiaries of cannabis rescheduling, which could significantly improve its financial position.
As one of the companies mentioned to benefit the most from the rescheduling, StateHouse is likely to see improved cash flow and reduced tax burden, which could positively influence its stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
Trulieve's significant tax payments in relation to sales suggest it could greatly benefit from the rescheduling of cannabis.
Trulieve could see a reduction in its tax liabilities due to the rescheduling, which may have a favorable short term effect on its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 70
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 70