Goldman Sachs Bullish On Zegna's Growth Trajectory, Sees Brand Momentum And Loyal Customer Base As Drivers
Portfolio Pulse from Nabaparna Bhattacharya
Goldman Sachs analyst Louise Singlehurst upgraded Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE:ZGN) to Buy from Neutral and raised the price target to $18.70 from $17. Singlehurst is optimistic about Zegna's growth trajectory, citing a positive fundamental investment case, attractive valuation after recent underperformance, and strong medium-term targets. The analyst expects over a 10% sales CAGR and a 20% CAGR in adjusted EBIT over the medium term, with even higher growth anticipated from 2023 to 2027. The growth is attributed to new retail space, increased store productivity, and strong brand momentum with a loyal high-end customer base. Zegna's top 5% of customers account for 40% of sales, and the high-end customer cohort spending €50k+ per year grew by 63% compared to 2022. The analyst forecasts 20% FX growth in FY23 and 10% in FY24. ZGN shares rose 3.07% to $11.07 following the upgrade.

January 11, 2024 | 8:52 pm
News sentiment analysis
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Goldman Sachs upgraded Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. to Buy and increased the price target to $18.70, indicating a positive outlook on the company's growth and profitability, driven by brand strength and customer loyalty.
The upgrade by Goldman Sachs to a Buy rating and the increase in price target are strong indicators of confidence in Zegna's growth trajectory and financial performance. The detailed analysis of customer spending and loyalty, along with the expected CAGR, suggests that the market may react positively to this news in the short term. The share price increase on the last check further supports the positive sentiment.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 90
RELEVANCE 100