Argentina's Inflation Was Around 200% in 2023 — And It Could Get Worse in 2024: New Leadership Says It Will Take Time To Reverse
Portfolio Pulse from Aaron Bry
Argentina's inflation rate hit around 200% in 2023, with food prices rising significantly. The new president, Javier Milei, has been in office for a month and warns that it may take time to reduce inflation, which some economists predict could reach 500% this year. Milei's strategy includes cutting government spending and subsidies, which some experts fear may initially lead to higher consumer prices. Despite Argentina's economic challenges, the Global X ETF's MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) is up nearly 10% over the past six months, and MercadoLibre Inc (MELI) is trading higher. However, Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) and Banco Macro SA ADR (BMA) have seen declines in the last month.
January 11, 2024 | 6:00 pm
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POSITIVE IMPACT
Global X ETF's MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) is up nearly 10% in the past six months despite Argentina's economic situation.
ARGT's recent performance suggests investor confidence or a decoupling from immediate economic woes in Argentina. However, continued inflation could eventually impact the ETF's performance.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
POSITIVE IMPACT
MercadoLibre Inc (MELI) is trading higher in the last six months, indicating resilience amidst Argentina's inflation crisis.
MELI's performance is positive, reflecting investor optimism or diversified operations that mitigate the impact of Argentina's inflation. Future economic conditions could alter this outlook.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 50
RELEVANCE 60
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Banco Macro SA ADR (BMA) has been hit in the last month, which may be attributed to the high inflation rates in Argentina.
BMA's recent stock performance could reflect investor concerns about the impact of inflation on the financial sector in Argentina.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) has experienced a decline in the last month, potentially impacted by Argentina's high inflation.
TEO's recent decline may be directly related to the economic situation in Argentina. As inflation continues, the company could face further challenges.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70