Fed Minutes Suggest Interest Rates Are At Cycle's Peak, But Put Imminent Cuts In Doubt
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes indicate that interest rates are likely at or near the cycle's peak, with the current rate at 5.25%-5.5%. The Fed acknowledges a slowdown in economic growth and a moderation in job gains, while inflation remains uneven with core services prices still high. The Fed's policy remains data-dependent, with a potential for lower rates by the end of 2024. Market reaction to the minutes was mixed, with a slight dip in the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields, and a brief surge in the S&P 500 before retreating. The Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) was 1% lower.

January 03, 2024 | 8:12 pm
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The Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) ended 1% lower following the release of the Fed minutes, which suggest a cautious but potentially more accommodative policy in the future.
The Invesco QQQ Trust, which tracks a tech-heavy index, is sensitive to interest rate changes due to the sector's reliance on borrowing. The Fed's minutes suggest a cautious approach to future rate cuts, which may have contributed to the ETF's 1% decline as investors adjust their expectations for monetary policy and its impact on tech valuations.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80