The stock price of SBR is likely to decrease in the short term by the amount of the dividend on the ex-dividend date, as the dividend payout is factored into the stock price. This is a common occurrence with stocks on their ex-dividend date. The importance is rated high because dividends are a significant event for shareholders, but not at the maximum because it is a regular and expected part of the stock's performance. The confidence level is high due to the predictable nature of the ex-dividend price adjustment.