Cyber Monday Update: Bargain-Conscious Online Consumers Increase Spend
Portfolio Pulse from Neil Dennis
Cyber Monday saw consumers taking advantage of discounts, with online sales growth in various categories. Goldman Sachs, Adobe, Salesforce, and Mastercard reported sales growth, with electronics, footwear, sporting goods, and jewelry performing well. Raymond James noted a significant increase in active footwear sales. Consumers showed a preference for value, with increased use of 'buy-now-pay-later' and 'no-rush shipping' options. Promotions were prevalent, with Nike, Foot Locker, Etsy, and Chewy offering substantial discounts. Analysts expect promotions to continue into 2024 due to a weak macroeconomic environment and high inventory levels. Goldman Sachs recommends Amazon as a preferred investment in the sector, with Alphabet and Meta also well-positioned to benefit from digital advertising.

November 28, 2023 | 5:47 pm
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POSITIVE IMPACT
Goldman Sachs highlights Amazon as the preferred investment in the eCommerce sector during volatile times, expecting continued promotions.
Goldman Sachs' endorsement of Amazon as a preferred investment suggests a positive outlook, which could lead to a short-term increase in stock price.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 90
POSITIVE IMPACT
Alphabet is highlighted by Goldman Sachs as well-positioned to benefit from digital advertising in the current market.
The positive sentiment from Goldman Sachs regarding Alphabet's position in digital advertising could lead to a short-term uptick in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 80
POSITIVE IMPACT
Meta is also favored by Goldman Sachs to benefit from digital advertising, suggesting a potential positive short-term impact.
Goldman Sachs' favorable view on Meta's digital advertising prospects could positively influence its stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 80
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Chewy offered savings of up to 50% during Cyber Monday, showing its participation in aggressive discounting to drive sales.
Chewy's significant discounts are likely to drive sales volume but could also impact profit margins. The short-term effect on the stock is neutral as the market may have already priced in these sales strategies.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Etsy participated in Cyber Monday with discounts of up to 60%, indicating a strong promotional strategy to attract consumers.
Etsy's discounts may increase traffic and sales, but the impact on the stock is likely neutral short-term as the benefits of increased sales are balanced by the costs of discounts.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Foot Locker offered up to 60% discounts, an increase from last year's 50%, showing a competitive response to market demand.
Increased discounts could drive sales but may also reduce profit margins. The short-term stock impact is expected to be neutral as the market has likely anticipated these promotional activities.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Nike offered up to 60% discounts with free shipping and returns during Cyber Monday, indicating strong promotional activity.
While discounts may boost short-term sales, they can also compress margins. The impact on the stock price is likely neutral in the short term as increased sales volume may offset lower margins.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70