2-Year Treasury Yields Hit 17-Year Highs, Analyst Says US Bond Market 'Is Losing Its Strategic Anchor'
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
Treasury yields continue to surge, with the 2-year Treasury note reaching 5.2%, its highest level in over 17 years. This follows robust retail sales figures and stronger than anticipated inflation. Despite market sentiment suggesting the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates further, the resilience of the U.S. economy is fostering the possibility of a prolonged period of elevated interest rates. Economist Mohamed El-Erian voiced concerns about the evolving nature of U.S. Treasuries, suggesting they are losing their long-term strategic stability. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) have both seen significant declines.
October 17, 2023 | 5:25 pm
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NEGATIVE IMPACT
The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) is down 7% from its 2020 peak.
The rise in Treasury yields has led to a decline in the value of SHY. As yields rise, bond prices fall, negatively impacting the value of bond ETFs like SHY.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 100
NEGATIVE IMPACT
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has lost over half of its value since March 2020.
The rise in Treasury yields has led to a significant decline in the value of TLT. As yields rise, bond prices fall, negatively impacting the value of bond ETFs like TLT.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100