The IMF's World Economic Outlook forecasts robust growth for the US economy, with GDP in 2023 expected to surpass pre-pandemic levels. The US economic growth for 2023 is estimated at 2.1%, a 0.3 percentage point increase from previous estimates. Unemployment is expected to rise modestly from 3.6% to 3.9% by 2025. However, the IMF warns of rising government debt due to expansionary fiscal policy, with debt expected to increase from 123.3% of GDP in 2023 to 137.5% by 2028. The 10-year government bond yield is projected to average 3.8% in 2023 and increase to 4.0% in 2024. The US 10 Year Note ETF (NASDAQ:UTEN) has fallen by 9% in 2023.