Fed's Hawkish Shift? 3 Economists On Interest Rate Hold, New Projections For 2024
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
The Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds rate within the 5.25% to 5.5% range at its September meeting. The median preference for the fed funds rate at the close of 2023 remains at 5.6%. For 2024, the central bank's projection for interest rate cuts points toward only a half-percentage point reduction, a hawkish shift from the earlier expectation of a full percentage point decrease. Growth forecasts have been significantly revised upward, standing at a robust 2.1% for 2023. The yield on the policy-sensitive two-year Treasury note, which is tracked by the U.S. Treasury Note ETF (NYSE:UTWO) closed at 5.16% on Wednesday, the highest since July 2007.

September 20, 2023 | 9:10 pm
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The yield on the policy-sensitive two-year Treasury note, which is tracked by the U.S. Treasury Note ETF (NYSE:UTWO), closed at 5.16% on Wednesday, the highest since July 2007. This indicates a potential increase in the value of UTWO.
The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the federal funds rate and its hawkish shift in projections for 2024 could lead to an increase in the yield of the two-year Treasury note. As UTWO tracks this note, it is likely that the value of UTWO will increase in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100