Fed Decision Looms: Will Steady Rates Prevail Despite Inflation Pressures?
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to maintain its current interest rates in the range of 5.25%-5.5%, with a 99% chance of rates staying unchanged. The market assigns a 70% probability of another hold in the Nov. 1 meeting. Analysts are divided on whether the Fed will pencil in an additional rate hike for 2023. The FOMC meeting will unveil updated summary economic projections, incorporating data on GDP growth, inflation, and the unemployment rate for the coming years. This scenario has the potential to introduce volatility in the stock market, including the S&P 500, which is closely tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY).

September 20, 2023 | 1:22 pm
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NEUTRAL IMPACT
The FOMC's decision on interest rates could introduce volatility in the stock market, including the S&P 500, which is closely tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY).
The FOMC's decision on interest rates has a direct impact on the stock market. As the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) closely tracks the S&P 500, any volatility in the stock market due to the FOMC's decision could impact the ETF. However, it's uncertain whether the impact will be positive or negative, hence the neutral score.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 75