AI, ARM IPO, And $3.4 Trillion Option Expiration Suck Fear Out Of The Stock Market – Be Cautious
Portfolio Pulse from The Arora Report
The Volatility Index (VIX) has fallen to its lowest level in two years, indicating a lack of fear in the stock market. This is due to the expiration of $3.4 trillion worth of options, the largest September option expiration ever. Investors are aggressively buying shares of Arm Holdings (ARM) due to the belief that it is an AI company on par with NVIDIA (NVDA). However, this is not the case as ARM is not an AI company. Positive money flows are seen in Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), and Meta Platforms (META), while negative flows are seen in Amazon (AMZN), NVIDIA, Alphabet (GOOG), and Microsoft (MSFT). Mixed money flows are seen in SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ).
September 15, 2023 | 3:06 pm
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POSITIVE IMPACT
Positive money flows are seen in Apple.
The positive money flows in Apple could lead to a short-term increase in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
POSITIVE IMPACT
Investors are aggressively buying ARM shares due to the belief that it is an AI company. However, this is not the case as ARM is not an AI company.
The aggressive buying of ARM shares is based on a misconception that it is an AI company. This could lead to a short-term increase in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100
POSITIVE IMPACT
Positive money flows are seen in Meta Platforms.
The positive money flows in Meta Platforms could lead to a short-term increase in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
POSITIVE IMPACT
Positive money flows are seen in Tesla.
The positive money flows in Tesla could lead to a short-term increase in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Investors are buying ARM shares due to the belief that it is an AI company on par with NVIDIA. However, this is not the case.
The misconception about ARM being an AI company like NVIDIA could lead to a neutral impact on NVIDIA's stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 50
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Mixed money flows are seen in Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1.
The mixed money flows in Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 could lead to a neutral impact on its price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Mixed money flows are seen in SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust.
The mixed money flows in SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust could lead to a neutral impact on its price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Negative money flows are seen in Amazon.
The negative money flows in Amazon could lead to a short-term decrease in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Negative money flows are seen in Alphabet.
The negative money flows in Alphabet could lead to a short-term decrease in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEGATIVE IMPACT
Negative money flows are seen in Microsoft.
The negative money flows in Microsoft could lead to a short-term decrease in its stock price.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70