Don't Buy Into The Momo Narrative That Recession Probability Is Zero, China Props Up Stocks
Portfolio Pulse from The Arora Report
The article discusses the current state of the stock market, highlighting the impact of Nvidia's earnings and the narrative of zero recession probability. It also mentions the Chinese government's efforts to prop up its stock market and the positive early trade money flows in several major US companies. The article suggests that the stock market is priced for no landing and zero percent probability of a recession, which may not align with the actual probabilities.

August 28, 2023 | 2:16 pm
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NEUTRAL IMPACT
Bitcoin is range bound.
The article mentions that Bitcoin is range bound, suggesting a neutral short-term impact.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 50
RELEVANCE 50
NEUTRAL IMPACT
The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust.
The article mentions SPDR Gold Trust as the most popular ETF for gold, but does not provide any specific information that would suggest a short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 50
RELEVANCE 50
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Nvidia's earnings have been a major focus of the market. Now that the earnings are behind, the market is shifting its focus.
The article mentions Nvidia's earnings as a major factor influencing the market. However, now that the earnings have been released, the market is shifting its focus, suggesting a neutral short-term impact.
CONFIDENCE 85
IMPORTANCE 70
RELEVANCE 80
NEUTRAL IMPACT
Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 has mixed money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions mixed early trade money flows in Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1, suggesting a neutral short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60
NEUTRAL IMPACT
The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust.
The article mentions iShares Silver Trust as the most popular ETF for silver, but does not provide any specific information that would suggest a short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 50
RELEVANCE 50
NEUTRAL IMPACT
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is mentioned in the context of the overall stock market performance. The market is consolidating slightly above the top support zone.
The article discusses the performance of the SPY ETF in the context of the overall market. The market is neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting a neutral short-term impact.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 70
NEUTRAL IMPACT
The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF.
The article mentions United States Oil ETF as the most popular ETF for oil, but does not provide any specific information that would suggest a short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 75
IMPORTANCE 50
RELEVANCE 50
POSITIVE IMPACT
Apple Inc has positive money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions positive early trade money flows in Apple Inc, suggesting a positive short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60
POSITIVE IMPACT
Amazon.com, Inc has positive money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions positive early trade money flows in Amazon.com, Inc, suggesting a positive short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60
POSITIVE IMPACT
Alphabet Inc Class C has positive money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions positive early trade money flows in Alphabet Inc Class C, suggesting a positive short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60
POSITIVE IMPACT
Meta Platforms Inc has positive money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions positive early trade money flows in Meta Platforms Inc, suggesting a positive short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60
POSITIVE IMPACT
Microsoft Corp has positive money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions positive early trade money flows in Microsoft Corp, suggesting a positive short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60
POSITIVE IMPACT
Tesla Inc has positive money flows in the early trade.
The article mentions positive early trade money flows in Tesla Inc, suggesting a positive short-term impact on the stock.
CONFIDENCE 80
IMPORTANCE 60
RELEVANCE 60