Office Real Estate Crisis Predicted To Worsen By 2030: How Major Cities Can Adapt
Portfolio Pulse from Natan Ponieman
A report by the McKinsey Global Institute predicts that office occupancy in large urban centers will not return to pre-pandemic levels for decades. The report examined 17 “superstar” cities across six countries and found that the pandemic-induced shifts in work behavior, coupled with advancements in technology, have drastically changed how employees engage with their workspaces. This has led to reduced walking traffic for store fronts in urban centers, lending to a rise in online shopping. The firm modeled two scenarios for 2030: one moderate and one severe. In the moderate scenario, the median city will have 13% less demand for office space by 2030. The drop in demand climbs to as much as 38% in the severe scenario for some cities. This can lead to a drop in the total value of office space in large cities of between 26% from 2019 to 2030 in the moderate scenario, to a 42% drop in value in the severe one.

July 13, 2023 | 7:05 pm
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Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Real Estate ETF (NYSE:EWRE) is up 0.2% on Thursday at the time of this writing and 2.6% in the past five days.
The ETF is directly mentioned in the article and is likely to be impacted by the news. The ETF has shown positive performance recently, which may continue in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 100
POSITIVE IMPACT
First Trust S&P REIT Index Fund (NYSE:FRI) is down 0.6% on Thursday but up 2.4% in the last five days.
The ETF is directly mentioned in the article and is likely to be impacted by the news. Despite a slight drop on Thursday, the ETF has shown positive performance in the past five days.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 100
POSITIVE IMPACT
iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSE:IYR) is up 0.14% on Thursday and 2.6% in the last five days.
The ETF is directly mentioned in the article and is likely to be impacted by the news. The ETF has shown positive performance recently, which may continue in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 100
POSITIVE IMPACT
iShares Core U.S. REIT ETF (ACRA:USRT) is up 0.17% on Thursday and 2.2% in the last five days.
The ETF is directly mentioned in the article and is likely to be impacted by the news. The ETF has shown positive performance recently, which may continue in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 75
RELEVANCE 100