Freight Recession: 5 Stocks To Watch As Transportation Costs Plummet To Pre-Covid Levels
Portfolio Pulse from Piero Cingari
The latest Fed Beige Book indicates a 'freight recession' as transportation costs plummet to pre-Covid levels. The Freightos Baltic Index (FBX) has dropped to levels not seen since March 2020. Five US transportation stocks that could be impacted by this crisis are United Parcel Service (UPS), FedEx Corporation (FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW), J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT), and CSX Corporation (CSX).

June 01, 2023 | 9:05 pm
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NEGATIVE IMPACT
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) could be impacted by the freight recession as transportation costs decrease. The stock is up 3% YTD but still 21% higher than January 2020 levels.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, as a provider of freight transportation services, is directly exposed to the freight recession. Lower transportation costs could lead to reduced revenues and negatively impact the stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100
NEGATIVE IMPACT
CSX Corporation (CSX) could be impacted by the freight recession as transportation costs decline. The stock is broadly flat YTD but still 30% higher than January 2020 levels.
CSX Corporation, as a provider of rail-based freight transportation services, is directly exposed to the freight recession. Lower transportation costs could lead to reduced revenues and negatively impact the stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100
NEGATIVE IMPACT
FedEx Corporation (FDX) could be affected by the freight recession as transportation costs decline. The stock is up 24% YTD but still 45% higher than January 2020 levels.
FedEx, as a major provider of express transportation and freight services, is directly exposed to the freight recession. Lower transportation costs could lead to reduced revenues and negatively impact the stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100
NEGATIVE IMPACT
J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) could be affected by the freight recession as transportation costs drop. The stock is down 3% YTD but still 45% higher than January 2020 levels.
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, as a provider of surface transportation and delivery services, is directly exposed to the freight recession. Lower transportation costs could lead to reduced revenues and negatively impact the stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100
NEGATIVE IMPACT
United Parcel Service (UPS) could be impacted by the freight recession as transportation costs drop. The stock is down 3% YTD but still 40% higher than early 2020 levels.
As the largest transportation firm in the US, UPS is directly exposed to the freight recession. Lower transportation costs could lead to reduced revenues and negatively impact the stock price in the short term.
CONFIDENCE 90
IMPORTANCE 80
RELEVANCE 100